Africa Energy Intel

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Confidence grading

Every record shows how strongly the available evidence supports it.

Grade	What it means	Deals
A	Verified against a primary source: official disclosure, regulator filing, DFI press release, or full article text confirming every figure.	300
B	A named publisher or credible trade or business publication. Figures are reported as published and have not yet been checked against a primary document.	472
C	A headline, aggregator or social source that the analyst could not fully corroborate. Treat it as a lead rather than a confirmed fact.	45

Grades are set during mining and reviewed every Friday against archived source text. A record is never upgraded without a primary document.

Index methodology

See how we build the three headline indices.

Funding index. Monthly disclosed capital, with debt weighted 1.5 times against equity and grants because it is the scarcer financing signal.

Capacity index. Megawatts entering the tracker each month, weighted by maturity. Operational capacity counts three times, construction twice, late development 1.5 times and early development once.

Policy index. The monthly policy count multiplied by the average analyst assigned impact score.

All three indices use the previous 12 month average as a base of 100. A reading above 100 means activity is running above that average; it is not an absolute measure.

Deal type glossary

Understand what each transaction label means.

project finance	Non or limited recourse debt secured against a single project's cash flows. This is the standard structure for utility scale IPPs.
corporate debt	Debt raised against a company's balance sheet rather than one project. This includes refinancings and portfolio facilities.
equity raise	New equity into a company or project vehicle, from sponsors, DFI equity arms or funds.
ma	An acquisition of a company, project stake or portfolio where control or ownership changes hands.
refinancing	Replacement of existing debt, usually to reprice, extend tenor, or release equity.
guarantee facility	A DFI or insurer guarantee that covers credit or political risk. It supports a financing but is not the financing itself.
grant	Funding that does not need to be repaid, usually for technical assistance or capital support from a DFI or donor.
dfi commitment	A commitment approved by a development finance institution board, often before commercial close.

Deal stage glossary

Understand where each transaction sits in its lifecycle.

announced	Publicly disclosed; terms may still be indicative.
mandated	Lead arranger(s) or advisor appointed; financing not yet closed.
financial close	Conditions precedent are satisfied and funds are available to draw. Lenders use this as the key bankability milestone.
disbursed	Capital has actually moved.
pledge	An umbrella programme, memorandum of understanding or investment pledge that is not yet binding. It is shown separately and excluded from tracked capital and the funding index.
cancelled	Publicly abandoned or withdrawn.

Country primers

Market structure, pipeline, capital, policy and evidence across 53 ranked markets.

Market	Region / pool	Offtaker	Regulator	Score
South Africa	Southern Africa SAPP	Eskom / NTCSA	NERSA	100.0
Egypt	Northern Africa COMELEC;EAPP	EETC	EgyptERA	59.2
Nigeria	Western Africa WAPP	NBET / Discos	NERC	32.1
DR Congo	Middle Africa CAPP;EAPP;SAPP	SNEL	ARE	26.0
Zambia	Eastern Africa SAPP	ZESCO	Energy Regulation Board	25.2
Kenya	Eastern Africa EAPP	Kenya Power (KPLC)	EPRA	24.6
Morocco	Northern Africa COMELEC	ONEE	ANRE	19.6
Ethiopia	Eastern Africa EAPP	Ethiopian Electric Power	Petroleum and Energy Authority	16.2
Namibia	Southern Africa SAPP	NamPower	ECB	9.9
Ghana	Western Africa WAPP	ECG	PURC / Energy Commission	8.8
Tunisia	Northern Africa COMELEC	not yet profiled	not yet profiled	8.7
Angola	Middle Africa SAPP;CAPP	ENDE/RNT	IRSEA	8.0
Uganda	Eastern Africa EAPP	UETCL	ERA	7.2
Zimbabwe	Eastern Africa SAPP	ZETDC	ZERA	6.7
Côte d'Ivoire	Western Africa WAPP	CIE	ANARE-CI	6.6
Botswana	Southern Africa SAPP	BPC	BERA	6.1
Senegal	Western Africa WAPP	Senelec	CRSE	5.9
Rwanda	Eastern Africa EAPP;CAPP	REG/EUCL	RURA	5.1
Tanzania	Eastern Africa EAPP;SAPP	TANESCO	EWURA	4.9
Mauritania	Western Africa COMELEC	not yet profiled	not yet profiled	4.4
Liberia	Western Africa WAPP	LEC	LERC	4.2
Mozambique	Eastern Africa SAPP	EDM	ARENE	3.9
Congo	Middle Africa CAPP	not yet profiled	not yet profiled	3.8
Djibouti	Eastern Africa EAPP	not yet profiled	not yet profiled	3.2
Cameroon	Middle Africa CAPP	ENEO	ARSEL	2.5
Madagascar	Eastern Africa	not yet profiled	not yet profiled	2.5
Guinea	Western Africa WAPP	Electricité de Guinée	Ministry of Energy / AREE	2.3
Sierra Leone	Western Africa WAPP	EDSA	EWRC	2.2
Gabon	Middle Africa CAPP	not yet profiled	not yet profiled	2.1
Mauritius	Eastern Africa	not yet profiled	not yet profiled	2.1
Togo	Western Africa WAPP	not yet profiled	not yet profiled	2.1
Burkina Faso	Western Africa WAPP	not yet profiled	not yet profiled	1.8
Malawi	Eastern Africa SAPP	ESCOM	MERA	1.8
Benin	Western Africa WAPP	SBEE	ARE Benin	1.6
Chad	Middle Africa CAPP	not yet profiled	not yet profiled	1.5
Eswatini	Southern Africa SAPP	not yet profiled	not yet profiled	1.4
Algeria	Northern Africa COMELEC	not yet profiled	not yet profiled	1.3
Mali	Western Africa WAPP	not yet profiled	not yet profiled	1.3
Lesotho	Southern Africa SAPP	not yet profiled	not yet profiled	1.2
Somalia	Eastern Africa EAPP	not yet profiled	not yet profiled	1.2
Cabo Verde	Western Africa	not yet profiled	not yet profiled	1.1
Libya	Northern Africa COMELEC;EAPP	not yet profiled	not yet profiled	1.1
Niger	Western Africa WAPP	not yet profiled	not yet profiled	1.1
Burundi	Eastern Africa EAPP;CAPP	not yet profiled	not yet profiled	0.7
C. African Rep.	Middle Africa CAPP	not yet profiled	not yet profiled	0.7
Eritrea	Eastern Africa	not yet profiled	not yet profiled	0.7
Gambia	Western Africa WAPP	not yet profiled	not yet profiled	0.6
Seychelles	Eastern Africa	not yet profiled	not yet profiled	0.5
Sudan	Northern Africa EAPP	not yet profiled	not yet profiled	0.4
Guinea-Bissau	Western Africa WAPP	not yet profiled	not yet profiled	0.3
South Sudan	Eastern Africa EAPP	not yet profiled	not yet profiled	0.3
Comoros	Eastern Africa	not yet profiled	not yet profiled	0.1
São Tomé	Middle Africa CAPP	not yet profiled	not yet profiled	0.1

Technology primers

Review tracked capacity and capital by technology.

Technology	Projects	MW	Deals	$m
Hybrid	201	115,409	122	18,575
Hydro	76	65,196	28	6,832
Solar	482	60,609	251	24,241
Other	66	36,913	229	72,266
Wind	72	35,289	32	8,143
Grid	44	17,300	102	23,229
Gas	6	6,869	0	0
Geothermal	24	4,938	6	1,067
BESS	41	1,837	14	685
solar_pv;wind	1	1,400	2	0
solar_pv; bess	1	1,000	2	620
solar_pv;gas_to_power	1	400	0	0
solar_pv;wind;bess	1	68	1	15
solar_pv;bess	1	0	3	216
—	1	0	20	17,466